Aircraft Accidents and the Comparisons to Politics

I’ve been watching the Presidential debates and runs with a quizzical eye: political pundits are like aviation experts; I don’t care which side you lean towards, the cacophony of views, conjecture and sarcasm that are pumped out of CNN, FOX, MSNBC and the major networks, each with that opinion-thing going on. They are trying to get their experience around a huge multi-tentacle leviathan that is politics. They alternately bring hope to their readers and followers before dashing said hope with their next word.
And they all have books … no, they’re tomes that resemble marble slabs sported by Fred Flintstone; they are thick with rhetoric and spell out words of doom should the opposing party enter the White House. The only guarantee along those lines is that their books will hit the two-for-five table after November 4th.
MH370, the Malaysian Airlines B777 lost over two years ago is the aviation equivalent of the previously mentioned political race. Self-described aviation experts and scientists have conned the victims’ families into thinking that there is a hope of finding what’s left of the airliner; for over 870 days, the search has not only proved fruitless, but near impossible. And yet the experts continue to sew hope that they will find the airliner sitting uninjured in an upright position on the flat sandy floor of the ocean.
Anyone who would like to understand what an airliner looks like following an uncontrolled impact in the ocean need only view pictures from China Airlines flight 611 that crashed in May 2002. The aircraft comes up in small pieces that resemble an animal turned inside out. Add to that the hundreds, perhaps thousands, of feet of water it passes through vertically full of cross-currents and drift that can bring whole damaged sections of the aircraft miles from each other (the Titanic’s debris field is 3 miles by 5 miles). The debris still floats and scatters on movements of the ocean, dropping small chunks every which way for miles.
Without getting offensive, the odds of finding the victims in any kind of recognizable state … or even at all … are astronomically impossible. The chance that the aircraft’s many, many distorted fragments will even be identifiable are, again, astronomically impossible. The chances of ever finding the aircraft – which is equivalent to finding a needle in a block long warehouse full of haystacks – shares the same unlikely odds. An oceanographer stated that the search patterns flown over the last 870 days have been in the wrong place all along; another expert adds his/her opinion to a lost cause. Family members are criticizing authorities to use the parts washed up on beaches to find the aircraft. What no one says is, that doesn’t do anything to find the aircraft.
So why do these experts keep the flames of hope going? I feel it’s to keep the attention for themselves alive; that they are looked to for hope, so the hope feeds their spotlight; that their books on the accident investigation have to make it through the editing process first so that they get the most mileage off the tragedy. And the families still hope.
When will somebody step up and say, “There is nothing that can be done beyond what we’ve done. It is time to let them rest in peace and move forward.”

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